Valencia has been sidelined since September, after suffering a fractured and dislocated ankle in a seemingly innocuous challenge by Rangers' Kirk Broadfoot in United's opening Champions League fixture.
It was revealed after tests that the player would be back by February, but before that there were fears that he could be out for the rest of the season.
"He's making the progress exactly the way we thought," Ferguson said.
"It's looking like the end of February or beginning of March.
"He should be back training in five to six weeks time, but given the extent of the injury we'll give him more time to get into the full flow of things."
Luis Antonio Valencia (Manchester United) Information
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Date of birth
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Sunday, 4th August 1985
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Height
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5ft 11in
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Place of birth
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Lago Agrio, Ecuador
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Weight
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12st 3lb
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International
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Ecuador
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Position
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Midfielder
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Comments
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Squad No.
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25
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Recent Career History By Club (1999 onwards)
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Team
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Debut | Apps (+ sub) | Goals | Yellows | Reds | |
09 Aug 2009 | 41 (12) | 7 | 4 | 0 | ||
19 Aug 2006 | 83 (6) | 7 | 15 | 2 | ||
Recent Career History By Season (1999 onwards)
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Season
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First App. | Apps (+ sub) | Goals | Yellows | Reds | |
08 Aug 2010 | 4 (0) | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||
09 Aug 2009 | 37 (12) | 6 | 3 | 0 | ||
16 Aug 2008 | 35 (0) | 3 | 4 | 1 | ||
11 Aug 2007 | 31 (1) | 3 | 5 | 0 | ||
19 Aug 2006 | 17 (5) | 1 | 6 | 1 | ||
Appearances 124 (+ 18 as sub); Goals 14; Yellow cards 19; Red cards 2
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